It all depends on the driver of the manual TT. The reason most auto TTs will get the holeshot is because of the ease of launching an auto. It's basically idiot-proof. But, if you can get a skilled driver matched w/ the manual, it'll be neck and neck up to the 330' mark. If the manual driver can manage quick 1-2 shifts and not miss the 2-3 shift, the TT should be 2-3 car lengths ahead by the 1000' mark and 3-4 car lengths ahead by the quarter mile.