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muddy is from the weight of the cone being increased due to the moisture. Water would run onto the spkr and literally filter through it with time. I'd remove all interior panels, get inside and have someone else run a water hose onto the deck. It could be your rear glass gasket rather than the hatch gasket. If you can't determine the exact path, dust some powder (talcum, baby, anything) on the surface (when dry) and then give it the hose again. It should give you tracks. Good Luck!
Regards Sweep 
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